Moderated by Lilyan Fulginiti\, University of Nebraska\, Lincoln
\n\nGlobal agricultural productivity u nder climate change and implications for food security (Paper 1)< /p>\n\n
Presentation by Madhur Gautam\, Wor ld Bank
\n\nThe World is off course to meet the targets for SDG2. F ood insecurity has been on the rise since 2016\, with acute food insecurit y at its highest level since 2016\, when formal monitoring started. COVID -19 and the more recent shocks to global food markets caused by the war in Ukraine have brought food insecurity\, and particularly the prospects of large-scale famines\, to the top of the global policy and development agen das\, climate change is one of the key drivers of the emerging longer-term crisis in food insecurity\, along with conflict and recurring economic sh ocks. This presentation will discuss some implications of the climate-pro ductivity-food security nexus on global policy and development strategic p riorities.
\n\nPolicies and Productivity in Argentinian Agr iculture: A Long-Term Perspective (Paper 2)
\n\nPresentatio n by Stephen Morgan\, USDA Economic Research Service
\n\nAuthors: St ephen Morgan\, USDA-Economic Research Service\, Eugenia Saini\, Inter-Amer ican Institute for Cooperation in Agriculture (IICA-FONTAGRO) and Keith Fu glie\, USDA-Economic Research Service
\n\nArgentina has a competitiv e agricultural sector that has consistently provided significant surpluses of crop and livestock commodities for export. However\, both over time an d across commodities\, agriculture’s growth performance has been uneven. T his paper presents long-term indexes of output and total factor productivi ty for Argentine agriculture covering the period from 1914 to 2020. For 19 61 to 2020\, the paper develops separate total factor productivity indices for the crop and beef sectors and examines technological and policy drive rs of TFP growth in these sectors. Since the 1930s\, productivity improvem ent rather than resource expansion has been the primary driver of growth i n the country’s agriculture. Since the 1960s\, crop output and productivit y have grown much more rapidly than productivity in the cattle sector. The effect of agricultural and trade policies\, which have generally reduced the country’s agricultural terms of trade\, on long-term productivity perf ormance is also explored.
\n\nUnravelling the effects of wea ther and climate induced shocks on farm labor wages in the United States < /strong>(Paper 3)
\n\nPresentation by Eric Njuki\, Research Agricult ural Economist\, USDA Economic Research Service
\n\nThis study evalu ates the channels through which changing patterns in weather and climate a re transmitted to hired farm workers’ wages. The central argument is that changing patterns in weather and climate negatively impact agricultural ou tput and yields\, altering the marginal product of labor\, and subsequentl y farm workers’ wages. The extent of these reductions is an empirical ques tion that we seek to establish. By exploiting variations in nonlinear meas ures of temperature and precipitation—growing degree days\, harmful degree days\, and precipitation— distinct channels through which workers’ wages are impacted are identified. Findings indicate that the net effect of a on e standard deviation change in growing degree days\, harmful degree days\, and excess precipitation is a 7 percent decline in hourly wages for the a verage worker.
BEGIN:VALARM UID:38356166-3630-4136-a233-623536306466 ACTION:DISPLAY DESCRIPTION:Moderated by Lilyan Fulginiti\, University of Nebraska\, Lincol n\n\nGLOBAL AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE AND IMPLICATION S FOR FOOD SECURITY (Paper 1)\n\nPresentation by Madhur Gautam\, World Ban k\n\nThe World is off course to meet the targets for SDG2. Food insecurit y has been on the rise since 2016\, with acute food insecurity at its high est level since 2016\, when formal monitoring started. COVID-19 and the m ore recent shocks to global food markets caused by the war in Ukraine have brought food insecurity\, and particularly the prospects of large-scale f amines\, to the top of the global policy and development agendas\, climate change is one of the key drivers of the emerging longer-term crisis in fo od insecurity\, along with conflict and recurring economic shocks. This p resentation will discuss some implications of the climate-productivity-foo d security nexus on global policy and development strategic priorities. \n \nPOLICIES AND PRODUCTIVITY IN ARGENTINIAN AGRICULTURE: A LONG-TERM PERSPE CTIVE (Paper 2)\n\nPresentation by Stephen Morgan\, USDA Economic Research Service\n\nAuthors: Stephen Morgan\, USDA-Economic Research Service\, Eug enia Saini\, Inter-American Institute for Cooperation in Agriculture (IICA -FONTAGRO) and Keith Fuglie\, USDA-Economic Research Service\n\nArgentina has a competitive agricultural sector that has consistently provided signi ficant surpluses of crop and livestock commodities for export. However\, b oth over time and across commodities\, agriculture’s growth performance ha s been uneven. This paper presents long-term indexes of output and total f actor productivity for Argentine agriculture covering the period from 1914 to 2020. For 1961 to 2020\, the paper develops separate total factor prod uctivity indices for the crop and beef sectors and examines technological and policy drivers of TFP growth in these sectors. Since the 1930s\, produ ctivity improvement rather than resource expansion has been the primary dr iver of growth in the country’s agriculture. Since the 1960s\, crop output and productivity have grown much more rapidly than productivity in the ca ttle sector. The effect of agricultural and trade policies\, which have ge nerally reduced the country’s agricultural terms of trade\, on long-term p roductivity performance is also explored.\n\nUNRAVELLING THE EFFECTS OF WE ATHER AND CLIMATE INDUCED SHOCKS ON FARM LABOR WAGES IN THE UNITED STATES (Paper 3)\n\nPresentation by Eric Njuki\, Research Agricultural Economist\ , USDA Economic Research Service\n\nThis study evaluates the channels thro ugh which changing patterns in weather and climate are transmitted to hire d farm workers’ wages. The central argument is that changing patterns in w eather and climate negatively impact agricultural output and yields\, alte ring the marginal product of labor\, and subsequently farm workers’ wages. The extent of these reductions is an empirical question that we seek to e stablish. By exploiting variations in nonlinear measures of temperature an d precipitation—growing degree days\, harmful degree days\, and precipitat ion— distinct channels through which workers’ wages are impacted are ident ified. Findings indicate that the net effect of a one standard deviation c hange in growing degree days\, harmful degree days\, and excess precipitat ion is a 7 percent decline in hourly wages for the average worker. TRIGGER:-PT15M END:VALARM END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR